Senin, 13 Desember 2010

From the Council on Foreign Relations

December 13, 2010

View this newsletter as a web page on CFR's website.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

- UK Investigates Stockholm Bombing
- Netanyahu Dismisses Separation of Jerusalem
- Japan's Military Will Focus on China
- Africa Rejects Gbagbo

Top of the Agenda: UK Investigates Stockholm Bombing

Under the Terrorist Act of 2000, British security services executed a search warrant (BBC) at a property in Luton as part of an expanding investigation into the background of Taimour Abdulwahab al-Abdaly, the suspect in Saturday's suicide bombing in Stockholm, Sweden. Before moving to Sweden, Abdaly lived and studied (al-Jazeera) in Luton for several years, and police will be investigating any connections made during this time. In the search, no hazardous materials were found, and no arrests have been made. Swedish investigators also confirmed that "jihadist" emails received (AP) by police and the news agency TT just prior to the bombing were sent by Abdaly. In these messages, an audio file condemns the Swedish military presence in Afghanistan and the controversial Swedish cartoon depicting the prophet Mohammed as a dog.

Experts fear the attack may be part of a new, but unreliable, al-Qaeda strategy of encouraging "lone jihadists" (Guardian) to strike at Westerners with whatever limited tools and training they have. Abu Baseer Nasser al-Wuhayshi, the leader of al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, issued a call for attacks in both the Middle East and the West. According to investigators, the bombing is reminiscent of recent attacks in London, Glasgow, and New York.

Analysis:

The Guardian's Jonathan Paige provides a brief profile of Abdaly.

This CFR Backgrounder looks at the threat of homegrown terrorism in the United States and the recent upswing in incidents perpetrated by Islamic radicals who are U.S. citizens.

MIDDLE EAST: Netanyahu Dismisses Separation of Jerusalem

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu distanced himself (al-Jazeera) from recent comments made by Defense Minister Ehud Barak, who suggested that Arab sectors of the city should fall under the sovereignty of an independent Palestinian state.

A group of elder statesmen, including former U.S. president Jimmy Carter, called for a renewed effort in peace talks (BBC), including asking Palestinians to recognize Israel's right to exist and Israel to cease settlement activity and end the occupation of Palestinian territory.

With the United States ending its push for an Israeli settlement freeze as a precondition for Israel-Palestinian talks, the Obama administration should now focus on managing expectations as much as conflict resolution, says CFR's Robert Danin.

This CFR Crisis Guide examines the history of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

PACIFIC RIM: Japan Will Shift Forces to Focus on China

Japan will release new guidelines (WashPost) for its military posture that take into account an increased Chinese threat, particularly in the disputed waters surrounding the southern Japanese islands.

Australia: In the latest WikiLeaks cables, Australian intelligence expressed fears that Iran's pursuit of nuclear capabilities could pull the United States and Australia into a nuclear conflict (The Australian), even though they believed the Iranian program to be primarily defensive.

SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA: Suicide Attack Kills Six Americans in Afghanistan

A car bomb (Dawn) near a military base in Kandahar province killed six NATO troops and wounded dozens of others.

India: Ahead of Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao's visit to New Delhi, Beijing warned that its relationship with India is "very fragile" (FT). The two nations are seeking to resolve a border dispute and an unbalanced trade relationship.

AFRICA: Africa Rejects Gbagbo

The African Union and the West African regional bloc have suspended the Ivory Coast (FT) until Alassane Ouattara, winner of the presidential election, is allowed to take over from Laurent Gbagbo.

Sudan: Ahead of the January referendum on national partition, Minni Minnawi, leader of the Sudan Liberation Army, declared the 2006 peace agreement a "failure" (al-Jazeera) and abandoned his Khartoum office in protest. Separately, clashes between Minnawi forces and Sudanese troops broke out over the weekend.

Upon their return from Sudan, George Clooney and John Prendergast assess the in-country situation in advance of southern Sudan's January independence referendum.

AMERICAS: Holbrooke Remains in Critical Condition

U.S. Envoy to Afghanistan Richard Holbrooke remains in critical condition (USAToday) after surgery to repair to a torn aorta. His hospitalization comes just ahead of a major Afghanistan policy review by the White House.

United States: President Barack Obama will face a battle (WashPost) in his ongoing effort for the ratification of New START, the nuclear arms reduction treaty. Missile defense remains the crux of negotiations with the Republican opposition.

In an op-ed, CFR's Michael A. Levi discusses the unique politics behind the START ratification process.

EUROPE: Berlusconi Warns Opponents of 'No-Confidence' Vote

Embattled Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi warned his opponents (Guardian) of a worsening eurozone debt crisis should his administration be removed from power.

 

EXPLORE CFR'S WEBSITE
Regions  Issues  Experts Publications About CFR
 
Find CFR on Twitter and Facebook.

Privacy Policy
The Council on Foreign Relations does not share email addresses with third parties.

Council on Foreign Relations
58 East 68th Street
New York, NY 10065
Tel. +1 212.434.9400
Fax: +1 212.434.9800

Learn about this and other newsletters offered by the Council on Foreign Relations.

To pause your subscription, to switch between HTML and text-only versions of the newsletter, to change your email address, or to unsubscribe, click here.


Email list management powered by http://MailerMailer.com