Rabu, 16 Maret 2011

From the Council on Foreign Relations

March 16, 2011

View this newsletter as a web page on CFR's website.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

- Japan's Nuclear Crisis Intensifies
- China to Postpone Nuclear Projects
- Pakistan Court Frees Raymond Davis
- U.S. Sends Drones into Mexico

Top of the Agenda: Japan’s Nuclear Crisis Intensifies

In the escalating nuclear crisis to hit Japan, a second reactor unit at Fukushima Daiichi plant (NYT) may have ruptured and appears to be releasing radioactive steam. The break at the number three reactor aggravated the already dangerous conditions at the plant, a day after officials said the containment vessel in the number two reactor had also cracked. Efforts to extinguish spent fuel were thwarted after high radiation levels (WSJ) in the atmosphere above forced the abandonment of a plan to dump water from a helicopter on the power plant's center. In addition, officials say the waste fuel kept at a storage pool at one of the reactors appeared to be heating up. Tokyo Electric Power, the plant's operator, ordered its skeleton crew of fifty workers to temporarily move away from reactors inside the plant after radiation levels (FT) jumped.

In an extremely rare appearance, the emperor of Japan appeared on live TV to make his first public comments on the disaster, and urged an all-out rescue effort (BBC). About four hundred and fifty thousand people have been staying in temporary shelters since the earthquake, and at least ten thousand people are feared dead.

Analysis:

An extraordinary series of events caused Japan's nuclear crisis, but it appears backup safety systems were flawed, says nuclear expert Charles Ferguson. He expects the disaster to slow some nuclear projects elsewhere but not cause a wholesale stoppage.

In this article for the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, James Acton details what happened at Fukushima nuclear power plant and what needs to be done to avert further problems.

For the Brookings Institution, Nathan Hultman explains why the events at Fukushima will complicate planning for nuclear power expansion in the coming years.

This article from Stratfor discusses the confluence of energy-related developments around the globe, and how the crisis in Japan highlights the nation's lack of control over these strategic resources.

Background:

This chart from the Economist lists the world's largest nuclear-energy producers.

This interactive Nuclear Energy Guide from CFR explores the past, present, and future of nuclear power, focusing on its unique benefits and risks.

Multimedia:

This interactive from the New York Times provides maps and photographs of places in Japan that were damaged by the March 11 earthquake and tsunami.

In this CFR Media Conference Call, Sheila Smith and Michael Levi discuss Japan's earthquake and its political, economic, and energy implications.

MIDDLE EAST: Egypt Revamps Security Agency

Egypt's military authorities disbanded the despised state security organization (NYT) and replaced it with another security body. The move was welcomed by visiting U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who announced an expanded aid package just ahead of Egypt's constitutional referendum.

CFR's Robert Danin says it is important for the Obama administration “to find the right balance between trying to support the people in Egypt--who are doing the right thing--without interfering.”

Bahrain: A crackdown by security forces (al-Jazeera) has driven pro-democracy demonstrators from a central gathering spot in capital Manama as the upheaval there worsened.

CFR's Ray Takeyh faulted Saudi Arabia's decision to send forces to Bahrain in support of the Sunni monarchy, saying it was retrograde and self-defeating.

PACIFIC RIM: China to Postpone Nuclear Projects

According to China's State Council (WSJ), Beijing will suspend approving new nuclear projects until updated safety rules are ready. Chinese government experts believe radioactive material from Japan's Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant won't harm public health in China

SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA: Pakistan Court Frees Raymond Davis

A Pakistan court released CIA contractor Raymond Davis (AP), who was accused of murdering two men in Lahore, after compensation was paid in accordance with sharia law. Davis's detention since the January 27 shooting had become a problem in U.S.-Pakistan relations.

Increasing distrust between the CIA and Pakistan's ISI over the Raymond Davis case had the potential to threaten efforts to fight militancy along the Afghan border. Experts Daniel Markey and Shuja Nawaz discuss policy options to restore the relationship.

Bangladesh: Bangladesh's Supreme Court adjourned the hearing of an appeal by Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus (Reuters) against a lower court decision, upholding his removal from a premier microlending bank he founded. The court delayed a decision on the matter until March 22.

AFRICA: Violence Persists in Ivory Coast

Four people have been killed by unidentified gunmen in Abidjan. The city has seen heavy fighting between supporters of disputed President Laurent Gbagbo and those of his rival, Alassane Ouattara. The clashes have spread to new areas recently, raising fears of a return to civil war (BBC).

On his CFR blog Africa in Transition, John Campbell discusses how Angola's President Jose Eduardo dos Santos supports Gbagbo.

AMERICAS: U.S. Sends Drones into Mexico

In its latest effort to combat Mexico's drug war, the Obama administration began sending drones into Mexico in February to gather intelligence about drug traffickers and their networks (NYT). These surveillance flights were formally agreed upon during Mexican President Felipe Calderon's visit to Washington several weeks ago.

United States: The U.S. House approved another budget extension (WashPost), which will keep the government running through early April. This is the sixth such resolution since the fiscal year began in October 2010 and the second this month.

EUROPE: EU to Hold Nuclear 'Stress Tests'

In an emergency meeting, the European Commission decided to hold “stress tests” (DeutscheWelle) for all 153 nuclear reactors in the EU to ensure nuclear security in the wake of Japan's crisis.

Portugal: Ratings agency Moody's cut Portugal's sovereign debt rating from A1 to A3 (BBC), citing high debt and low growth prospects.

EXPLORE CFR's WEBSITE:     Regions      Issues      Experts     Publications     About CFR

Find CFR on Twitter and Facebook.

Privacy Policy
The Council on Foreign Relations does not share email addresses with third parties.

Council on Foreign Relations
58 East 68th Street
New York, NY 10065
Tel. +1 212.434.9400
Fax: +1 212.434.9800

Learn about this and other newsletters offered by the Council on Foreign Relations.

To pause your subscription, to switch between HTML and text-only versions of the newsletter, to change your email address, or to unsubscribe, click here.


Email list management powered by http://MailerMailer.com